Democrat presidential candidates appear to be in the lead in three South Texas towns that are particularly Latino, according to a recent poll conducted by Texas Southern University.
In an area that had a significant impact on President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential vote, the study found a strong backlash toward Democrats.
Republicans faced serious opposition in all three of the poll’s three regions. In the 2024 presidential election, Trump won Congressional District ( CD ) 15 by 59 percent to 41 percent, CD 28 by 53 percent to 46 percent, and CD 34 by 52 percent to 47 percent. However, both CDs 28 and 34 re-elected, respectively, U.S. Reps. Henry Cuellar (D-TX-28 ) and Vincente Gonzalez (D-TX-34), while CD 15 supported U.S. Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R-TX-15 ).
Republicans attempted to simplify the flipping of CDs 28 and 34 when they redrew legislative district lines last month. In the 2024 presidential election, the just configured regions would have favored Trump by ten percentage points, while the new CD 15 would have still supported him by about 18 percent factors.
Nonetheless, the survey revealed that Trump’s standing has declined and that his job approval in each of the three districts has declined. In CD 15, 36, and CD 28, respectively, the study found that only 40 % of likely voters approve of Trump’s work performance. More than half of the respondents in all three towns express disapproval.
Trump isn’t the only Democrat to appear to be having trouble in this area. Additionally, the poll asked voters for their assistance in the Republican governor’s general election. In the U.S. Senate race between Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton and state representative James Talarico (D-Austin ), Greg Abbott and state representative Gina Hinojosa (D-Austin ).
In the ballot, Talarico posted profits of between 8 and 11 percentage points over Paxton, a considerable drop from Trump’s double-digit victories, while Hinojosa was ahead by 3 to 4 percentage points across the three districts.
Democratic issues remained even further down the ballot. Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina, who switched from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in soon 2024, is easily ahead of Cuellar, who has been in business since 2005.
Cuellar has the backing of 44 % of the district’s electorates, compared to Tijerina’s 34 %. Six percent of likely voters said they would support Marlón Durán, a Green Party member, and 15 % said they were unsure. Importantly, 23 percent of likely voters who said they would vote for Trump in 2024 indicated they did. Additionally, 15 % of voters who support Paxton back the Democrat. Only 5 % of those who support Talarico, on the other hand, supported Tijerina.
Cuellar, who the U.S. Department of Justice in 2024 accused him of corruption and acting as a foreign agent, received a pardon in 2025 under the avernament that he would change parties. When that was a failure, Trump retaliated against Cuellar, saying in a blog on Truth Social:” I always thought he would run for office again, and certainly not as a Democrat, who largely destroyed his life even with the Pardon granted.”
According to the ballot, Gonzalez appears to be in a closer competition. Within the study’s 3.7 percent point margin of error, he leads Republican Eric Flores by 45 to 42 percentage. Eight percent of voters aren’t positive, while a third of the vote supports Green Party candidate Eddie Espinoza, and a third of voters support Libertarian Chris Royal.
The Republican, De La Cruz, is the one who is in the most problems, according to the poll. She was beaten by Pulido by 5 percentage points, or 50 to 45 percent, according to the study. The remaining 5 percentage are still unsure. Pulido, a song from Tejano, appears to benefit from a more positive image than De La Cruz: Her gross favorability rating is 2 %, while her net favorability rating is +1.
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